2013 Swing Trade Track Record Thread

[Stock_Bull]

1. ANR - Long Alert on January 1st

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/bbLwl1

- Alerted to buy at an average of .22. Alerted to cut losses at .13

- Total loss = 40.9%

Comments: Greed got the best of me. Was up over 40% at two points, but failed to exit.

2. WMT - Long Alert on January 13th

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/aAhSji

- Alerted to buy at .53. Alerted to sell at .53. Break even.

- Total gain/loss = 0% - Break Even

Comments: Reached just below my target price. WMT failed to break $70 and pulled back fast. Missed our exit around .80.

3. MAR - Long Alert on January 27th

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/j13OJ2

- Alerted to buy at .40. Alerted to sell at .65.

- Total gain = 62.5%

Comments: Was going to be a hold for a few days, only through this week as I mentioned in the email. But moved faster than expected which is good. Ended up being a day trade for a nice profit.

4. HNZ - Short Alert on January 28th

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/CGYErR

- Alerted to buy at .35. Alerted to cut losses at .15.

- Total loss = 57.1%

Comments: Short before the buyout news, didn't provide enough time. It ended up reaching my price target ahead of the buyout.

5. FDO - Short Alert on February 3rd

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/rzbHog

- Alerted to buy at .55. Alerted to cut losses at .30.

- Total loss = 45.5%

Comments: Didn't provide enough time again, like with the HNZ alert. FDO also ended up reaching my price target. Should have gone for March puts instead.

6. HAL - Long Alert on February 10th

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/EVqYRw

- Alerted to buy at .83. Alerted to sell half at 1.22 for a 47% gain. Alerted to sell the other half at 1.60 for a 92.8% gain. Overall gain was 69.9%

- Total gain = 69.9%

Comments: Played out as expected, alerted to sell early. The calls ended up going past 2.00.

7. DE - Short Alert on February 18th

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/C1RhLV

- Alerted to buy at .93 and to average down at .66. Average buy price of .80. Alerted to sell at 1.21.

- Total gain = 51.3%

Comments: Played out as expected, had a bad first entry though. But a nice profit in the end. This was a quick 2 day trade.

8. SPY - Short Alert on February 3rd

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/bSb9I6

- Alerted to buy April 147x puts at 2.15 and alerted to sell at 2.37.

- Total gain = 10.2%

Comments: Timing was a bit early, but nailed the reversal. S&P topped out at 1530. This was mainly a hedge to any longs we were in. Came out with a small profit.

9. FB - Short Alert on February 23rd

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/OquvKc

- Alerted to buy March 27x puts at .74 and alerted to sell at .95

- Total gain = 28.4%

Comments: Alerted to sell ahead of my price target because of Bernanke's speech. Could have shifted the markets, so decided to get out with a smaller gain instead.


10. BMY - Long Alert on March 3rd

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/q4ZGHy

- Alerted to buy April 39x calls at .08 and alerted to sell half at .16 for a 100% gain and the other half at .19 for a 137.5% gain

- Total gain = 118.8% (average)

Comments: BMY was downgraded the morning I alerted so it gapped down and allowed us to get a great entry price. Had a real nice move back up. Original $40 target is still achievable IMO.

11. RSG - Long Alert on March 5th

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/Jfrnzg

- Alerted to buy April 30x calls at 1.55 and alerted to sell at 2.05

- Total gain = 32.3%

Comments: RSG pulled back a little after my alert, the calls fell to around 1.30. Could have gotten a better entry, but overall was a good play. RSG was upgraded today which gave it a push above $32.

12. PEP - Long Alert on February 28th

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/awKncs

- Alerted to buy April 80x calls at .10 and average down at .06 for a total average of .08. Alerted to sell at .48

- Total gain = 500%

Comments: PEP volatility spiked on rumors/news and we were able to get a large gain on these calls

13. P - Long Alert on March 14th

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/MmpgxT

- Alerted to buy April 15x calls at .50 and average down at .20 for a total average of .35. Alerted to sell at .10

- Total loss = 66.7%

Comments: Alerted P right before a market pull back, bad timing.

14. AIG - Long Alert on March 31st

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/NhPj5j

- Alerted to buy May 40x calls at 1.00. Alerted to sell at 1.32

- Total gain = +32%

Comments: Alerted to sell these too early, AIG is still going higher.

15. BBBY - Long Alert on April 21st

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/LV9C9w

- Alerted to buy May 67.50x calls at 1.24. Alerted to sell at 2.15

- Total gain = +73.9%

Comments: Played out perfectly, although the entry could have been a bit better.

16. STZ - Long Alert on April 30th

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/7WrS9L

- Alerted to buy May 50x calls at 80. Alerted to sell at 1.00

- Total gain = +25%

Comments: Was looking for more upside, but was moving too slow. Had to take profits.

17. LVS - Long Alert on May 12th

- Email link: http://p0.vresp.com/dGH6t9

- Alerted to buy June 60x calls at 1.20. Alerted to sell at 1.93

- Total gain = +60.8%

Comments: Moved much quicker than expected and decided to take profits before it reached my target.

2013 gains (in progress)

Total percentage gain = 854.9%
Average percentage gain = 50.3%

[OldFart]

no more?.....

[Stock_Bull]

no more?.....

There are, I'm just updating it after every 4 or 5.

[DimoBricks]

But Stock_Bull that math ain`t right though

Let`s say one had $1000 to invest in these trades.

It would have been $1000 - 40.9% = $591

Then $591 + 0% = still $591

and $591 + 62.5% = $960.375

So you`d be down $39.63 or -3.96%.

If you are down 40%, you need a little over 66% to get back even.

[Stock_Bull]

But Stock_Bull that math ain`t right though

Let`s say one had $1000 to invest in these trades.

It would have been $1000 - 40.9% = $591

Then $591 + 0% = still $591

and $591 + 62.5% = $960.375

So you`d be down $39.63 or -3.96%.

If you are down 40%, you need a little over 66% to get back even.

No because you shouldn't be going all in on each trade. That's bad money management. If you have only $1,000 to trade with you shouldn't be putting in more than $200-$300 in each. You can't go all in on each trade because you will always lose in the end.

Let's say you split the $1k between all 3, that would be $333 for each.

You'd lose $136 on ANR

WMT would be even

You'd make $208 on MAR

Your account would now be worth $1,072 ... which is a 7.2% gain between all 3.


Whether your account size is $1,000 or $1,000,000 you're not going to invest all of the money in one trade. And if you do, then you're doing it wrong.

[Stock_Bull]

Updated the thread. Total % gain went up to 40.2%, but average % gain fell to 5.7%.

[Stock_Bull]

Updated with SPY

[Stock_Bull]

Updated with FB

[Stock_Bull]

Updated with BMY

[Stock_Bull]

Updated with RSG